黄金科学技术 ›› 2022, Vol. 30 ›› Issue (1): 93-104.doi: 10.11872/j.issn.1005-2518.2022.01.127
Shan YANG(),Mingke YUAN,Kaijun SU,Zitong XU
摘要:
针对地下矿山采场内因火灾影响因素多且复杂,涵盖自燃起火与火灾后果多个层面的情况,综合考虑矿石含硫量、含碳量和矿石温度等因素,建立了采场内因火灾多层面分析的指标体系,构建以影响指标为条件属性和以采场内因火灾自燃起火及火灾后果为决策属性的链式变精度粗糙集模型。对采场内因火灾的自燃起火可能性及火灾后果严重性进行了链式关联决策分析,得到了9条置信度为55%以上的采场内因火灾自燃起火决策规则及5条置信度为50%以上的采场内因火灾后果的决策规则。根据链式因果关系对两类规则进行归并整合,得到了采场内因火灾涵盖起因与后果的组合规律。结果表明:该方法能够科学全面地分析采场内因火灾等存在链式关联层面的不确定概率性问题,为矿山预判、应对采场内因火灾及保障安全生产提供了指导。
中图分类号:
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