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黄金科学技术 ›› 2014, Vol. 22 ›› Issue (4): 78-84.doi: 10.11872/j.issn.1005-2518.2014.04.078

• 采选技术与矿山管理 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于G1-变异系数法的矿产资源项目海外投资决策模型研究

周智勇,宋清华,李涛,陈建宏   

  1. 中南大学资源与安全工程学院,湖南  长沙   410083
  • 收稿日期:2014-05-20 修回日期:2014-06-26 出版日期:2014-08-28 发布日期:2014-12-24
  • 作者简介:周智勇(1980-),男,江西上饶人,博士,从事矿业系统工程、数字矿山及矿业经济等方面的研究工作.csuzzy@126.com
  • 基金资助:

    国家自然科学基金资助项目“地下金属矿采掘计划可视化优化方法与技术研究”(编号:51374242)与中南大学自由探索计划资助项目“巷道地质编录三维空间数字化及自动战图算法研究”(编号:2012QNZT028)联合资助.

Decision-making Model of Mineral Resources Overseas Investment Based on G1-Coefficient of Variation

ZHOU Zhiyong,SONG Qinghua,LI Tao,CHEN Jianhong   

  1. School of Resources and Safety Engineering,Central South University,Changsha   410083,Hunan,China
  • Received:2014-05-20 Revised:2014-06-26 Online:2014-08-28 Published:2014-12-24

摘要:

通过分析矿业海外投资面临的风险因素,建立了矿业资源海外投资风险评价指标体系,针对当前主流的矿业投资风险评价方法所存在的缺陷,综合运用G1法及变异系数法,构建了基于动态组合赋权的矿业资源海外投资风险评价模型,并进行了实例分析。研究结果表明:所建立的投资决策模型弥补了评价指标单一赋权方法的缺陷,兼顾主、客观2种赋权方法的优点,使赋权既具有专家的经验智慧,又能反映客观条件的新变化,为比较、分析投资风险提供了更为直接的新方法。

关键词: G1法, 变异系数法, 矿业海外投资, 风险评价, 投资决策

Abstract:

A risk evaluation index system for mineral resources overseas investment was built up after fully  analyzing the risk factors in mining industry overseas investment.The current popular mining investment risk evaluation methods had their deficiencies for they considered either solely subjective knowledge or only objective information.By integrating G1 method with coefficient of variation method,we presented a risk evaluation model for mineral resources overseas investment named G1-coefficient of variation,which was based on dynamic combination weighing method.We also carried out an instance analysis and the results show that the model,which can be used for investment decision-making,compensates for the deficiencies of evaluation index single weighing method.Dynamic combination weighing method had the advantages of both subjective weighing method and objective weighing method in that it took into consideration both experience and wisdom of experts and new changes in objective conditions.The established investment decision-making model provided for a more direct way of analyzing and comparing investment risk.

Key words: G1 method, coefficient of variation method, mining overseas investment, risk evaluation, investment decision-making

中图分类号: 

  • F416.1

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