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Gold Science and Technology ›› 2018, Vol. 26 ›› Issue (6): 803-810.doi: 10.11872/j.issn.1005-2518.2018.06.803

   

Research on the Safety Degree of Hunan Province Nonferrous Metals Resources Based on Elastic Coefficient Method

Yexin ZENG(),Qinli ZHANG*()   

  1. 1. School of Resources and Safety Engineering，Central South University，Changsha 410083，Hunan，China
  • Received:2017-07-11 Revised:2018-03-18 Online:2018-12-31 Published:2019-01-24
  • Contact: Qinli ZHANG E-mail:zyx6288@qq.com;zhangqinlicn@126.com

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Abstract:

Based on nonferrous metals resources characteristics and the background of the 13th Five-Year Plan strategic thoughts，Hunan nonferrous metals industry is faced to the coexistence of opportunities and challenges. By combining resource security with market economy，the study focus on the market supply and demand of nonferrous metals,the annual consumption and production elasticity coefficient of Hunan nonferrous metals market during 2006~2015 was calculated,and the market supply and demand situation in the next five years was analyzed with the elastic coefficient method.The evaluation index named mineral resources supply and demand safety degree was established to analyze the security situation of nonferrous metals resources in Hunan Province.The result shows that there are many problems about Hunan nonferrous metals resources，like low resource utilization，unbalanced industrial structure allocation，low-refined products with poor technology content etc.It is estimated that there will be a serious imbalance between supply and demand in the future and the resource security will be greatly reduced. Based on balancing the pressure of market supply and demand，advice was offered to promote the development of Hunan nonferrous metal resources safety and industrial economy from five aspects.

Key words: mineral resources, resource security, nonferrous metals, market supply and demand, elastic coefficient method, supply and demand safety degree, comprehensive utilization, Hunan Province

CLC Number: 

  • X91

Fig.1

Annual output and national occupation ratio of ten nonferrous metals in Hunan Province"

Table 1

Sales value of nonferrous metals industry in Hunan Province from 2006 to 2015"

年份 有色金属工业销售产值／亿元
采选品 冶炼及压延加工品 合计
2006 119.52 591.92 711.44
2007 160.51 811.99 972.50
2008 168.74 974.49 1 143.23
2009 199.81 1 088.71 1 288.52
2010 295.99 1 676.85 1 972.84
2011 473.29 2 468.7 2 941.99
2012 454.34 2 319.58 2 773.92
2013 474.96 2 627.28 3 102.24
2014 479.45 2 723.81 3 203.26
2015 374.71 2 802.51 3 177.22

Table 2

Total output value of nonferrous metals industry in Hunan Province from 2006 to 2015"

年份 有色金属工业总产值／亿元
采选品 冶炼及压延加工品 合计
2006 122.05 612.23 734.28
2007 161.3 864.84 1 026.14
2008 174.08 1 024.36 1 198.44
2009 203.82 1 109.85 1 313.67
2010 298.09 1 684.14 1 982.23
2011 475.98 2 484.2 2 960.18
2012 456.67 2 333.72 2 790.39
2013 479.72 2 672.18 3 151.9
2014 484.56 2 738.14 3 222.7
2015 361.01 2 771.27 3 132.28

Fig.2

Supply and demand forecast result of nonferrous metal resources in Hunan Province from 2016 to 2020"

Fig.3

Supply and demand safety degree of nonferrous metals resources in Hunan Province from 2006 to 2020"

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