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Mining Technology and Mine Management

Environmental Risk Assessment and Prediction of Mining Investment in Pakistan Under the Background of the Belt and Road

  • Minggui ZHENG , 1, 2 ,
  • Xinyue WANG , 2 ,
  • Dongming GU 2 ,
  • Yanbo ZHANG 2
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  • 1. Center for Pakistani Studies, Jiangxi University of Science and Technology, Ganzhou 341000, Jiangxi, China
  • 2. School of Economics and Management, Jiangxi University of Science and Technology, Ganzhou 341000, Jiangxi, China

Received date: 2023-02-22

  Revised date: 2023-05-28

  Online published: 2023-09-20

Abstract

Pakistan is rich in mineral resources and is one of China’s “all-weather strategic partners” and an important mining investment country.Based on the five risk levels of politics and law,economy and finance,resource extraction,social culture and infrastructure,this paper constructs a mining investment environmental risk evaluation index system in Pakistan from a dynamic perspective.The weight of indicators is determined by the improved CRITIC method,and the index information is collected by the TOPSIS method to explore the possible risk factors of Pakistan’s mining investment environment,so that the evaluation results are more accurate,scientific and referenceable.The deep learning model was used to predict the mining investment environment in Pakistan from 2023 to 2033,which provides a reference for the risk prevention of Pakistan’s mining investment environment in the future.The results show that:(1)Anti-globalization risk,resource abundance,social stability,environmental regulation,credit risk and corruption risk sink are the main influencing factors of Pakistan’s mining investment environment.(2)From 2000 to 2022,Pakistan’s mining investment environment score generally showes a spiraling trend,and the risk level was stable after being reduced to medium risk.In addition to the overall dynamic downward trend of infrastructure risk scores,the political and legal risks,economic and financial risks,social and cultural risks and resource exploitation risk scores all show a fluctuating upward trend.(3)From 2023 to 2033,Pakistan’s mining investment environment will be reduced from medium risk to low risk level,stable and improving.

Cite this article

Minggui ZHENG , Xinyue WANG , Dongming GU , Yanbo ZHANG . Environmental Risk Assessment and Prediction of Mining Investment in Pakistan Under the Background of the Belt and Road[J]. Gold Science and Technology, 2023 , 31(4) : 646 -658 . DOI: 10.11872/j.issn.1005-2518.2023.04.030

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